2014 - Brief predictions of the Geo context

It is time to close this page, and as it happens in the custom of those who close annual cycles, I loose some lines of what we could expect in 2014. Already we will talk more but just today, which is the last year:

Unlike other sciences, in our own the trends are defined by the circle of what happens to the hardware and the use of the Internet.

  • On the one hand, more robust tablets + more capable operating systems + solutions that gradually replace the Laptops = more sales of tablets ... Not necessarily cheaper but yes in relation to its capacity. Smartphones taking their place in communication by limiting the size.
  • And from the side of the web: Almost everything from the cloud, interacting with almost any software that survives on the desktop, more productive uses of social networks, more vain inventions to bring the real world to the web.
Open geo suit

In free GIS software

It will be an interesting year for OpenSource. QGis, with the great harvest event; because it is a software that matured after the community, it will have fewer challenges to be sustained than gvSIG, which by now has many communities but few developers with full dedication. We understand and congratulate the Foundation's effort to place the model, but we also believe that it could have started earlier, when more money flowed that was invested in an almost double development, something belated, which consequently brings a high cost of sustainability.

Free software is not for competition, it is not about who is better. But it is vital to survive with solvency in a context of much demand from users, the trend towards the cloud, mobile phones on Android systems, the multidiscipline that fuses the simplicity of geomarketing with the accuracy of topography, applications of sensors And proximity to geoengineering.

The models are different, but you have to learn from both. The challenge for the internationalization of gvSIG is promising, but it must be producing mature businesses and balanced messages. The effort not to reinvent the QGis wheel is wise, but they must prevent monopoly by high-value support.

BoundlesBefore we saw an intention with Portable GIS, but now we find interesting the vision of Boundles, Formerly known as OpenGeo, which now offers support and added value on a solution that integrates part of the ecosystem:

  • The robustness of QGis as a thin client,
  • All of the OpenLayers development suite,
  • The indisputable capacity of GeoServer for data on the web, added to GeoWebCache to efficiently thesis,
  • And PostGIS / Postgres for management, analysis both down and in the cloud and taking books of passage of sufficient acceptance.
Questions are required:
What is the other combo?
Will libraries not connected to this line survive?
What will be the gvSIG Boundles?
What is the combination with MapServer?
Will uDIG reach its big brother's popularity?
Will SEXTANTE survive if your godfather becomes obsessed with GRASS?
How many developers does gvSIG have now?
How much of this does ESRI use under that pretty face?
Many of these responses are not of interest to the common user, but to decision makers, either because they have already taken them or because they are urgent.
And despite the uncertainty, we must acknowledge with great satisfaction that never before was free-code GIS software at such a promising time. So 2014 is promising, not for everyone. Those popularized by creating ecosystem, the others to grow in community, specializing in whatever.

Private software.

Here the trend is different, because the interests are economic, such that we will see a similar behavior in the big ones:
  • ESRI, at your leisure.
  • AutoDesk approaching larger partners due to the fragility of stock market crises. Aware that GIS is not your business, getting more into manufacturing, animation and architecture.
  • Intergraph increasingly part of the super solution that conforms Geomedia + Erdas.
  • Bentley buying more business customers working, in its niche: Engineering and Plant infrastructures. In GIS area, only the trend towards tablets and ability to interact with field teams.
  • Mapinfo ... Is it still in PB's priorities?

Not the big ones in theirs.

  • Supergis, in his endless daring for what ESRI does, and looking for western markets.
  • GlobalMapper, stable, suffering before the piracy that does not forgive a tool that does not do everything but what it does ... Our respect. It does it well.
  • Manifold GIS ... No forecast, after so many years of drought compared to its initial aggressiveness.
  • Others ... Looking for a magic formula.

When is LibreCAD?

It is surprising the progress we have already had, with something that had been left abysmally behind. Despite the effort, they do not find the way to consolidate community ... which in my opinion, will never happen if they concentrate on a discipline that alone is obsolete. A CAD 2D to make plans of construction that is not conceived in BIM, is condemned to oblivion.

Business Trend in 2014

At least in our context, we will take a little bit in what we know will happen one day: Real World Modeling (BIM), where disciplines will converge: data capture, geospatial, CAD Design and infrastructure operation.
In 2014 the CAD will insist on modeling the BIM, but the route of this will be slow by the adolescence of standards. The slowness of OpenSource in the CAD is again to blame, because it is the one that pushes and materializes the standards. Among the big ones, the design will come a little closer to the operation, something of BIM but limited to use in specialized contexts. The best result will revolve around the standards for smart cities, something that advances, for now for manufacturers and developers to think about being ready, but there is still a lot to wait.
It will be a great year for the Cadastre, let's remember what year it is, and for sure the FIG smokes will continue intense analysis of what happened with the 2014 Cadastre declarations. In the smoked modeling much progress was made towards standards and real examples of the LADM, it died a lot of the conventional cartography, the academy and the private company has positioned itself quite well, but not all the public institutions advanced at the same pace, so it is questionable the recovery of costs and if really the public right appears as information in workflows that facilitate the life of the user.
So the comprehensive business of GIS will continue to revolve around geolocation, which is a great achievement. But we are aware that the GIS has more to offer, in many disciplines that still dispense with its wealth. This year we can expect more from the capture and modeling teams, although we can not say that it will consolidate trend in businesses in which the non-specialists eye.
America will have its big year, with eyes on the World Cup in Brazil, will attract several international events. And we will see the experiment of making the Latin American Geospatial Forum in Mexico.

Otherwise

We must be positive. Happy to have come to see accounts of social networks turned into business, blogs acquire authority, a NosoloSIG Who returns with great success, a son successfully finish high school, an elderly mother give us another year of company ...
... a girl lighting our eyes like that first time, in the dark corner, in the car cabin, in the classroom, in the big window of life ...
Happy and prosperous New Year.

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